Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Zijiang Enterprise set up a packaging company in Hubei with 20 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Hubei Zijiang Packaging Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Shao Chunjiang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the production of plastic packaging containers and tools for food; Sales of plastic packaging containers, tools and products for food. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Zijiang Enterprise.
The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both fell more than 1%.Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years. On December 13, 2024, the Intermediate People's Court of Xianning City, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of Li Tie, the former head coach of China National Men's Football Team. Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years' imprisonment for accepting bribes, bribery, unit bribery, bribery of non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. (CCTV News)
Putin: China has made great strides in technological development. According to a report by the Tass news agency on December 11th, Russian President Vladimir Putin said at the international conference on "Journey of Artificial Intelligence" on December 11th that China is making great strides in technological development. According to the report, Putin pointed out in a dialogue with Song Haitao, president of Shanghai Institute of Artificial Intelligence: "China is making great strides in technological development and application of the most important technological development tools. Of course, the artificial intelligence you study is one of the most important tools. " Song Haitao told Putin that the Shanghai Institute of Artificial Intelligence plans to sign a memorandum of cooperation with the Russian Federal Savings Bank to promote technical research in the field of artificial intelligence. Putin said: "I am very happy to hear that you are going to sign a contract with the Russian Federal Savings Bank. I think this is meaningful for you and the Russian Federal Savings Bank. " (World Wide Web)Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14